Category Archives: Soccer

Statistics Pro customer demo

A group of bettors from Slovakia were kind enough to send us this demo of their Statistics Pro using examples:

“We are group of bettors from Slovakia and we are supporting company annabet as they prepare for us many specific data we were looking for, but still there is more to do with data they have. Today we would like to present 1st HT (halftime) research and how to use it for betting.

Many sport sites shows tables 1HT/FT or 1HT table. But there is not easy to find home/away tables for halftimes results. This is not the biggest different, but to find h2h for halftimes is really one of the most valuable stats research on the site for us. We are using these kind of bets as one of the most profitable.

See betradar 1st HT table and maximum what we can get from i tis total games, wins, draws, loses and score.

Tables at annabet can be also wider in the future, but it is enough to see all games, home, away and form of 1st HT! You can find them in every h2h of team when you specify to search and show 1st HT results only.

Here is specification what you can made in top menu of each h2h. As you can see on the picture we made basic specification. Added only home games of Stutt.Kickers and only away games of Elversberg. Then we choose only German 3rd league and then we can choose only season 2013-2014. So the previous games for away team are 1-9-0 and results 0-0 are 90%. In the graph we can see percentage of scored and concided goals and average of goals. It is up to each bettor then what is interesting for him. If continue to play low score for 1st halftime (like 0-0 exact score or under 1.0 goal for example) or play that this serie of result will be broken adn the number of goals will be over this time. Everybody has different systems and strategies how to use this kind of data and its own money management plan. But this kind of result gives big percentage of probability you have to thing how to use it for your winnings (pregame, live betting or use betting exchange).

One of the most important data annabet give us as payed users in rest of h2h stats. You can see fair probability and fair odds of each team in the specific period and then it calculates automatically as an average of both team. Also you can see directly what you can expect (in long run) and what is the real odd on market (immediately you can see if you find value on market or not).

Another great thing is serie of result (it is great to know when you have more games for each team after specification). This is also interesting for many bettors as you can follow trends of teams in long run or catch trends which have same or similar progress. You can see all time trends and current trends of each team.

There is also one example of big favorit vs big outsider by the bookies prediction. Again i tis up to each user what odds to set up for calculation as we have our own system. As you see w wanted to see results of Barcelona at home as favorit from 1.15 up to 1.20 and at the same time Valenica at away as heavy outsider from odd 8.00 and higher (when we left empty 2nd odd at highest it calculates all big odds). It is expectation there will be just games at Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atl. Madrid as they can be only big favorits against Valencia in spanish top league. So you can see how good Valenica is in 1st HT and they lost only 2 games from 8 in the 1HT as heavy outsider!

So we there was a time to start to think about the value in this game and we would say we find even better one. As you see in the picture there is average calculation of both team for 1HT number of total goals under 1.5 with 69% in long run, where Barcelona played as heavy favorit 48 games with 62% under 1.5 total goals in all 1st HT. And this is one of the most important data we can use and work with it right now and during the match.”

Goal difference statistics added

How often does an ice hockey game end with one goal margin in the regular time? Or any league / sports – any goal margin. Are you afraid of empty net goal – especially in correct score betting and handicap betting? Choose league -> Special Statistics -> Score Stats. See demo: http://annabet.com/en/soccerstats/score_stats.php?serie=1&season=1 (English Premier League 2007-2008 demo)

Purchase Statistics Pro to get full access: http://annabet.com/store/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=60&language=en

Here is demo of NHL 2012-2013 season:

0 goal difference means the game has ended tie (regular time statistics only). On the actual statistics page you can mouseover percentages (%) to see value odds. For example 20.0% = EU decimal 5.00, UK 4/1 and US +400 value odds.

Be a booker: PoissoNed! Ultimate

Update 30.5.2016: More total goals probabilities added!

Update 3.11.2016: Calculation/simulation optimizations.

Update 7.7.2019: Odds copy / reverse engineer also using handicap odds + over/under odds.

Offer hundreds of side bets (or find value side bets) by just entering 1×2 and over/under total goals odds! This online tool was originally developed exclusively for a Balkan booker. Now available in public. http://annabet.com/en/poissoned/ultimate.php

This is not just for “copying” the estimations from bookers’ (or betting exchanges’) odds but you can also calculate probabilities similarly than with PoissoNed! Pro version using goal average estimations, power ratings, elo ratings and more. Pricing is based as a subscription for accessing this online tool. Personal manual usage only. Ask for corporate pricing and CSV data export possibilities.

Lots of highly valuable extra features compared to Pro version

  • Odds copy / reverse engineer almost any 1×2 + over/under combination using either EU, UK or US odds format.
  • Odds copy / reverse engineer using handicap lines + over/under lines.
  • 1. half & 2. half probabilities based on user’s league selection and statistical analysis on our 500 000+ soccer games! Or auto discover best match if no league selected.
  • A lots of new special side bets and combo bets.
  • Live Score option removes impossible results from percentage data (for example if you enter “1-0” there is no possibility for home team to score 0 goals and thus this is taken account when calculating possible outcomes).
  • Extra option to manually enter “HT vs FT Goal Distr.%” = Half time vs full time goal distribution % = usually about 44% of goals are scored in the 1. half (this can vary a lot based on league, so it is recommended to choose the league from the league menu to get best values) but you can here enter any percentage for that ratio if you wish.
  • Extra option to customize 1st Half Tie% and 2nd Half Tie%: if you wish to fine tune 1×2 probability field of halves you can enter here your own values. For example if PoissoNed! says 47.7% 1. half tie % you can then enter here 49.5% to get a bit higher probability for that.
  • Max Odds setting to limit maximum odds in very low probability (high odds) side bets. For example instead of offering odds like 9674.24 for 5-5 score, you might want to set the maximum odds as 500.00 or 1000.00 instead.
  • Free trial calculations available -> you’ll need an AnnaBet.com user account first.
  • Save over 50% with 1 year subscription compared to 12 x 1 month subscription.
  • Ask for business pricing (VAT 0% invoice) and CSV export feature!

Q & A

Q: Why % from correct score 0:0 doesn’t be the same as we calculate it from “Home team score 0 goal” * “Away team score 0 goal”. It’s should be the same as 0:0 score at the game, right?

A: You can only multiply probabilities if they happen independently. In our model we try to fit every possible correct score % to user input values (1X2% and over/under%). In that model there can be slightly different probabilities using multiplying as those scoring probabilities per team are not totally independent in real world. See this article.

Demo view:

PoissoNed! Ultimate

Odds 1 Home x Tie 2 Away Total Goals Under Over
Extra Live Score HT vs FT Goal Distr.% 1st Half Tie% 2nd Half Tie%

Overround : 100%   EU odds (also available in UK and US)

1×2 % 45.9% – 28.8% – 25.4% (2.18 – 3.48 – 3.94)
Moneyline 64.4% – 35.6% (1.55 – 2.81)
Double Chance 1x 74.6% (1.34)
Double Chance x2 54.1% (1.85)
Double Chance 12 71.2% (1.40)
Goal Average (Home – Away) 1.600 – 1.136 = 2.736
1. Half 1×2 % 34.7% – 43.1% – 22.2% (2.88 – 2.32 – 4.50)
1. Half Moneyline 61.0% – 39.0% (1.64 – 2.56)
1. Half Double Chance 1x 77.8% (1.29)
1. Half Double Chance x2 65.3% (1.53)
1. Half Double Chance 12 56.9% (1.76)
2. Half 1×2 % 39.4% – 36.3% – 24.4% (2.54 – 2.76 – 4.11)
2. Half Moneyline 61.8% – 38.2% (1.62 – 2.62)
2. Half Double Chance 1x 75.6% (1.32)
2. Half Double Chance x2 60.6% (1.65)
2. Half Double Chance 12 63.7% (1.57)

Half with most goals

1. Half 28.8% (3.47)
2. Half 46.1% (2.17)
Tie 25.1% (3.99)

Home Goal Probabilities

0 20.4%
(4.91)
1 33.1%
(3.03)
2 25.7%
(3.89)
3 13.4%
(7.49)
4 5.3%
(18.94)
5 1.7%
(59.39)

1. Half

0 50.6%
(1.98)
1 34.4%
(2.90)
2 11.8%
(8.51)
3 2.7%
(37.11)

2. Half

0 40.5%
(2.47)
1 36.6%
(2.73)
2 16.5%
(6.05)
3 5.0%
(20.00)
4 1.1%
(87.93)

Away Goal Probabilities

0 31.9%
(3.13)
1 37.1%
(2.70)
2 20.7%
(4.84)
3 7.6%
(13.15)
4 2.1%
(47.26)

1. Half

0 61.5%
(1.63)
1 29.9%
(3.34)
2 7.2%
(13.79)
3 1.2%
(84.87)

2. Half

0 52.5%
(1.91)
1 33.9%
(2.95)
2 10.9%
(9.20)
3 2.3%
(42.89)

Any other goal <1%

Correct Score

Home % Odds Tie % Odds Away % Odds
1-0 9.9% 10.11 0-0 7.5% 13.32 0-1 6.9% 14.48
2-0 7.9% 12.64 1-1 13.6% 7.33 0-2 3.9% 25.50
2-1 9.0% 11.13 2-2 6.2% 16.13 0-3 1.5% 67.35
3-0 4.2% 23.69 3-3 1.3% 79.87 0-4 0.4% 237.19
3-1 4.8% 20.86 4-4 0.1% 703.24 0-5 0.1% 1044.14
3-2 2.7% 36.73 5-5 0.0% 9674.26 0-6 0.0% 5515.72
4-0 1.7% 59.24 1-2 6.3% 15.94
4-1 1.9% 52.15 1-3 2.4% 42.09
4-2 1.1% 91.84 1-4 0.7% 148.24
4-3 0.4% 242.56 1-5 0.2% 652.58
5-0 0.5% 185.12 1-6 0.0% 3447.32
5-1 0.6% 162.98 2-3 1.9% 52.62
5-2 0.3% 286.99 2-4 0.5% 185.30
5-3 0.1% 758.01 2-5 0.1% 815.73
5-4 0.0% 2669.50 2-6 0.0% 4309.15
6-0 0.1% 694.18 3-4 0.3% 347.44
6-1 0.2% 611.18 3-5 0.1% 1529.49
6-2 0.1% 1076.20 3-6 0.0% 8079.66
6-3 0.0% 2842.54 4-5 0.0% 3823.74
6-4 0.0% 10010.61
7-0 0.0% 3037.05
7-1 0.0% 2673.90
7-2 0.0% 4708.36
7-3 0.0% 12436.11
8-0 0.0% 15185.23
8-1 0.0% 13369.50

Other results <0.005%
Results (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3) probability: 90.0% (1.11)
any other results than (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3): 10.0% (10.00)

Results (0,1,2) – (0,1,2) probability: 71.3% (1.40)
any other results than (0,1,2) – (0,1,2): 28.7% (3.48)

1. Half Correct Score

Home % Odds Tie % Odds Away % Odds
1-0 20.8% 4.80 0-0 31.5% 3.17 0-1 14.8% 6.76
2-0 7.2% 13.92 1-1 10.6% 9.41 0-2 3.6% 27.62
2-1 3.5% 28.44 2-2 0.9% 111.50 0-3 0.6% 169.32
3-0 1.7% 60.57 3-3 0.0% 2973.76 0-4 0.1% 1383.79
3-1 0.8% 123.76 0-5 0.0% 14136.46
3-2 0.2% 505.71 1-2 2.5% 40.07
4-0 0.3% 351.41 1-3 0.4% 245.58
4-1 0.1% 717.98 1-4 0.0% 2007.04
4-2 0.0% 2933.89 2-3 0.1% 712.38
4-3 0.0% 17983.14 2-4 0.0% 5822.00
5-0 0.0% 2548.42
5-1 0.0% 5206.79

Other results <0.005%
Results (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3) probability: 99.3% (1.01)
any other results than (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3): 0.7% (143.91)

Results (0,1,2) – (0,1,2) probability: 95.5% (1.05)
any other results than (0,1,2) – (0,1,2): 4.5% (22.11)

Results (0,1) – (0,1) probability: 77.8% (1.29)
any other results than (0,1) – (0,1): 22.2% (4.50)

2. Half Correct Score

Home % Odds Tie % Odds Away % Odds
1-0 18.9% 5.28 0-0 21.6% 4.63 0-1 13.4% 7.44
2-0 8.6% 11.60 1-1 12.7% 7.87 0-2 4.3% 23.01
2-1 5.6% 17.94 2-2 1.9% 53.51 0-3 0.9% 106.80
3-0 2.6% 38.21 3-3 0.1% 818.32 0-4 0.2% 660.91
3-1 1.7% 59.11 0-5 0.0% 5112.51
3-2 0.5% 182.89 1-2 4.0% 25.27
4-0 0.6% 167.84 1-3 0.9% 117.29
4-1 0.4% 259.66 1-4 0.1% 725.86
4-2 0.1% 803.45 1-5 0.0% 5614.86
4-3 0.0% 3729.04 2-3 0.4% 257.64
5-0 0.1% 921.65 2-4 0.1% 1594.36
5-1 0.1% 1425.88 2-5 0.0% 12333.15
5-2 0.0% 4411.96 3-4 0.0% 5253.04
6-0 0.0% 6073.24
6-1 0.0% 9395.91

Other results <0.005%
Results (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3) probability: 98.2% (1.02)
any other results than (0,1,2,3) – (0,1,2,3): 1.8% (55.40)

Results (0,1,2) – (0,1,2) probability: 91.0% (1.10)
any other results than (0,1,2) – (0,1,2): 9.0% (11.16)

Results (0,1) – (0,1) probability: 66.7% (1.50)
any other results than (0,1) – (0,1): 33.3% (3.00)

Teams to Score

Home to score 79.6% (1.26)
Away to score 68.1% (1.47)
Neither Team To Score 7.5% (13.32)
One Team To Score Only 37.3% (2.68)
One Team To Score Only Or Neither Team To Score 44.8% (2.23)
Both Teams To Score 55.2% (1.81)
Both Teams To Score @ 1. Half 19.4% (5.15)
Both Teams To Score @ 2. Half 28.6% (3.50)
Both Teams To Score & 3+ Total Goals 41.6% (2.41)
Scoring Draw 21.3% (4.71)
Home to score in both halves 29.4% (3.40)
Away to score in both halves 18.3% (5.47)

Special

Home Win To Nil 24.4% (4.09)
Away Win To Nil 12.9% (7.78)
Home Win by One Goal 22.1% (4.53)
Away Win by One Goal 15.4% (6.50)
Total Goals – Even 52.8% (1.89)
Total Goals – Odd 47.2% (2.12)
Goal in both halves : Yes 53.7% (1.86) No 46.3% (2.16)
Home to win both halves : Yes 13.7% (7.31) No 86.3% (1.16)
Away to win both halves : Yes 5.4% (18.49) No 94.6% (1.06)

Special Combos

1 (Home) & Both Teams To Score 21.4% (4.66)
2 (Away) & Both Teams To Score 12.5% (8.00)
1 (Home) & 3+ Total Goals 28.1% (3.56)
1 (Home) & 3 Total Goals 13.2% (7.57)
1 (Home) & 4+ Total Goals 14.9% (6.73)
1 (Home) & 4 Total Goals 6.5% (15.43)
1 (Home) & 5+ Total Goals 8.4% (11.92)
1 (Home) & 5 Total Goals 5.2% (19.31)
1 (Home) & Home 2+ goals 36.0% (2.78)
2 (Away) & 3+ Total Goals 14.5% (6.88)
2 (Away) & 3 Total Goals 7.8% (12.89)
2 (Away) & 4+ Total Goals 6.8% (14.77)
2 (Away) & 4 Total Goals 2.8% (35.75)
2 (Away) & 5+ Total Goals 4.0% (25.18)
2 (Away) & 5 Total Goals 2.7% (37.44)
2 (Away) & Away 2+ goals 18.4% (5.42)

Handicaps

Home -0.5 : Away +0.5 45.9% – 54.1% (2.18 – 1.85)
Home -1.5 : Away +1.5 23.8% – 76.2% (4.20 – 1.31)
Home -2.5 : Away +2.5 9.9% – 90.1% (10.11 – 1.11)
Home -3.5 : Away +3.5 3.4% – 96.6% (29.70 – 1.03)
Home -4.5 : Away +4.5 1.0% – 99.0% (103.80 – 1.01)
Home +0.5 : Away -0.5 74.6% – 25.4% (1.34 – 3.94)
Home +1.5 : Away -1.5 90.0% – 10.0% (1.11 – 10.04)
Home +2.5 : Away -2.5 96.9% – 3.1% (1.03 – 32.76)

Asian Handicap

Home -4.5 : Away +4.5 1.0% – 99.0% (103.80 – 1.01)
Home -4.0 & -4.5 : Away +4.0 & +4.5 1.0% – 99.0% (102.55 – 1.01)
Home -4.0 : Away +4.0 1.0% – 99.0% (101.30 – 1.01)
Home -3.5 & -4.0 : Away +3.5 & +4.0 2.2% – 97.8% (45.63 – 1.02)
Home -3.5 : Away +3.5 3.4% – 96.6% (29.70 – 1.03)
Home -3.0 & -3.5 : Away +3.0 & +3.5 3.5% – 96.5% (28.74 – 1.04)
Home -3.0 : Away +3.0 3.6% – 96.4% (27.77 – 1.04)
Home -2.5 & -3.0 : Away +2.5 & +3.0 6.9% – 93.1% (14.59 – 1.07)
Home -2.5 : Away +2.5 9.9% – 90.1% (10.11 – 1.11)
Home -2.0 & -2.5 : Away +2.0 & +2.5 10.6% – 89.4% (9.41 – 1.12)
Home -2.0 : Away +2.0 11.5% – 88.5% (8.70 – 1.13)
Home -1.5 & -2.0 : Away +1.5 & +2.0 18.1% – 81.9% (5.52 – 1.22)
Home -1.5 : Away +1.5 23.8% – 76.2% (4.20 – 1.31)
Home -1.0 & -1.5 : Away +1.0 & +1.5 26.8% – 73.2% (3.73 – 1.37)
Home -1.0 : Away +1.0 30.6% – 69.4% (3.27 – 1.44)
Home -0.5 & -1.0 : Away +0.5 & +1.0 39.2% – 60.8% (2.55 – 1.64)
Home -0.5 : Away +0.5 45.9% – 54.1% (2.18 – 1.85)
Home 0 & -0.5 : Away 0 & +0.5 53.6% – 46.4% (1.87 – 2.15)
Home 0 : Away 0 64.4% – 35.6% (1.55 – 2.81)
Home 0 & +0.5 : Away 0 & -0.5 70.4% – 29.6% (1.42 – 3.38)
Home +0.5 : Away -0.5 74.6% – 25.4% (1.34 – 3.94)
Home +0.5 & +1.0 : Away -0.5 & -1.0 80.9% – 19.1% (1.24 – 5.23)
Home +1.0 : Away -1.0 88.2% – 11.8% (1.13 – 8.49)
Home +1.0 & +1.5 : Away -1.0 & -1.5 89.2% – 10.8% (1.12 – 9.27)
Home +1.5 : Away -1.5 90.0% – 10.0% (1.11 – 10.04)
Home +1.5 & +2.0 : Away -1.5 & -2.0 93.3% – 6.7% (1.07 – 14.84)
Home +2.0 : Away -2.0 96.7% – 3.3% (1.03 – 30.51)
Home +2.0 & +2.5 : Away -2.0 & -2.5 96.8% – 3.2% (1.03 – 31.64)
Home +2.5 : Away -2.5 96.9% – 3.1% (1.03 – 32.77)
Home +2.5 & +3.0 : Away -2.5 & -3.0 98.1% – 1.9% (1.02 – 51.92)

1×2 Handicaps

Home -1 : Away +1 23.8% – 22.1% % – 54.1% (4.20 – 4.53 – 1.85)
Home -2 : Away +2 9.9% – 13.9% % – 76.2% (10.11 – 7.17 – 1.31)
Home -3 : Away +3 3.4% – 6.5% % – 90.1% (29.70 – 15.33 – 1.11)
Home -4 : Away +4 1.0% – 2.4% % – 96.6% (103.80 – 41.61 – 1.03)
Home +1 : Away -1 74.6% – 15.4% – 10.0% (1.34 – 6.50 – 10.04)
Home +2 : Away -2 90.0% – 6.9% % – 3.1% (1.11 – 14.48 – 32.77)
Home +3 : Away -3 96.9% – 2.3% % – 0.8% (1.03 – 43.57 – 132.20)

Total Goals

0 goals 7.5% (13.32)
0-1 goals 24.3% (4.11)
0-2 goals 49.8% (2.01)
1 goals 16.8% (5.95)
1-2 goals 42.3% (2.37)
1-3 goals 63.2% (1.58)
2 goals 25.5% (3.92)
2-3 goals 46.4% (2.15)
2-4 goals 61.9% (1.61)
3 goals 21.0% (4.77)
3-4 goals 36.4% (2.74)
3-5 goals 44.3% (2.26)
4 goals 15.5% (6.46)
4-5 goals 23.3% (4.29)
4-6 goals 27.1% (3.68)
5 goals 7.9% (12.74)
5-6 goals 11.7% (8.58)
5-7 goals 13.1% (7.66)
6 goals 3.8% (26.25)
6-7 goals 5.2% (19.20)
6-8 goals 5.7% (17.50)
7 goals 1.4% (71.45)
7-8 goals 1.9% (52.51)
7-9 goals 2.0% (48.78)

Total Goals

Over Under
0.5 goals 92.5% (1.08) 7.5% (13.32)
1.5 goals 75.7% (1.32) 24.3% (4.11)
2.5 goals 50.2% (1.99) 49.8% (2.01)
3.5 goals 29.2% (3.42) 70.8% (1.41)
4.5 goals 13.8% (7.27) 86.2% (1.16)
5.5 goals 5.9% (16.91) 94.1% (1.06)
6.5 goals 2.1% (47.54) 97.9% (1.02)
1 goals 91.0% (1.10) 9.0% (11.08)
2 goals 67.4% (1.48) 32.6% (3.07)
3 goals 37.0% (2.70) 63.0% (1.59)
4 goals 16.3% (6.14) 83.7% (1.19)
5 goals 6.4% (15.58) 93.6% (1.07)
6 goals 2.2% (45.73) 97.8% (1.02)
0.5 & 1 goals 91.8% (1.09) 8.2% (12.20)
1 & 1.5 goals 82.6% (1.21) 17.4% (5.76)
1.5 & 2 goals 72.1% (1.39) 27.9% (3.59)
2 & 2.5 goals 57.5% (1.74) 42.5% (2.36)
2.5 & 3 goals 44.4% (2.25) 55.6% (1.80)
3 & 3.5 goals 32.7% (3.06) 67.3% (1.49)
3.5 & 4 goals 23.3% (4.29) 76.7% (1.30)
4 & 4.5 goals 14.9% (6.70) 85.1% (1.18)
4.5 & 5 goals 10.2% (9.77) 89.8% (1.11)
5 & 5.5 goals 6.2% (16.25) 93.8% (1.07)
5.5 & 6 goals 4.1% (24.47) 95.9% (1.04)
6 & 6.5 goals 2.1% (46.63) 97.9% (1.02)

1. Half Total Goals

Over Under
0.5 goals 68.2% (1.47) 31.8% (3.15)
1.5 goals 32.7% (3.06) 67.3% (1.49)
2.5 goals 11.3% (8.83) 88.7% (1.13)
3.5 goals 3.1% (31.78) 96.9% (1.03)
1 goals 50.7% (1.97) 49.3% (2.03)
2 goals 14.4% (6.94) 85.6% (1.17)
3 goals 3.4% (29.18) 96.6% (1.04)

2. Half Total Goals

Over Under
0.5 goals 78.4% (1.28) 21.6% (4.64)
1.5 goals 46.1% (2.17) 53.9% (1.86)
2.5 goals 20.4% (4.90) 79.6% (1.26)
3.5 goals 7.3% (13.67) 92.7% (1.08)
4.5 goals 2.1% (46.98) 97.9% (1.02)
1 goals 68.1% (1.47) 31.9% (3.14)
2 goals 27.5% (3.64) 72.5% (1.38)
3 goals 8.4% (11.88) 91.6% (1.09)
4 goals 2.2% (44.54) 97.8% (1.02)
1 (Home) Or Total Goals Over 2.5 68.0% (1.47)
2 (Away) Or Total Goals Over 2.5 61.0% (1.64)
1 (Home) & Total Goals Over 1.5 @ 1. Half 17.4% (5.74)
2 (Away) & Total Goals Over 1.5 @ 1. Half 8.9% (11.25)

Team Totals

Home Over Under
0.5 goals 79.6% (1.26) 20.4% (4.91)
1.5 goals 46.6% (2.15) 53.4% (1.87)
2.5 goals 20.9% (4.79) 79.1% (1.26)
3.5 goals 7.5% (13.26) 92.5% (1.08)
4.5 goals 2.3% (44.26) 97.7% (1.02)
1 goals 69.6% (1.44) 30.4% (3.29)
2 goals 28.1% (3.56) 71.9% (1.39)
3 goals 8.7% (11.49) 91.3% (1.10)
4 goals 2.4% (41.92) 97.6% (1.02)
Away Over Under
0.5 goals 68.1% (1.47) 31.9% (3.13)
1.5 goals 31.0% (3.23) 69.0% (1.45)
2.5 goals 10.3% (9.71) 89.7% (1.11)
3.5 goals 2.7% (37.06) 97.3% (1.03)
1 goals 49.2% (2.03) 50.8% (1.97)
2 goals 13.0% (7.70) 87.0% (1.15)
3 goals 2.9% (34.24) 97.1% (1.03)

1. Half Team Totals

Home Over Under
0.5 goals 49.2% (2.03) 50.8% (1.97)
1.5 goals 14.9% (6.73) 85.1% (1.17)
2.5 goals 3.2% (31.30) 96.8% (1.03)
Away Over Under
0.5 goals 38.4% (2.61) 61.6% (1.62)
1.5 goals 8.5% (11.74) 91.5% (1.09)
2.5 goals 1.3% (75.64) 98.7% (1.01)

2. Half Team Totals

Home Over Under
0.5 goals 59.6% (1.68) 40.4% (2.47)
1.5 goals 22.9% (4.36) 77.1% (1.30)
2.5 goals 6.4% (15.62) 93.6% (1.07)
3.5 goals 1.4% (72.06) 98.6% (1.01)
Away Over Under
0.5 goals 47.6% (2.10) 52.4% (1.91)
1.5 goals 13.7% (7.32) 86.3% (1.16)
2.5 goals 2.8% (36.06) 97.2% (1.03)
Both Teams To Score & 2+ goals @ 1. Half 26.3% (3.80)
Total Goals Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 53.5% (1.87)
Total Goals Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 25.7% (3.90)
Total Goals Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 31.5% (3.18)
Total Goals Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 15.1% (6.63)
Home Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 29.3% (3.41)
Home Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 8.9% (11.29)
Home Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 11.3% (8.85)
Home Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 3.4% (29.32)
Away Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 18.2% (5.48)
Away Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 0.5 @ 2. Half 4.1% (24.68)
Away Over 0.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 5.2% (19.08)
Away Over 1.5 goals @ 1. Half & Over 1.5 @ 2. Half 1.2% (85.91)

Football Elo ratings calculations added to PoissoNed! Pro

Football Elo ratings calculations added to PoissoNed! Pro: http://annabet.com/en/poissoned/ Enter both teams Elo ratings (or AnnaBet Power Ratings) and your estimation of total goals to get tons of probabilities. PoissoNed! is a mathematical tool to calculate football probabilities based on your goal expectations. It can also be helpful in other low scoring sports like ice hockey.

In this example I have used AnnaBet Power Ratings values of Italy U19 and Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 and estimated total goals of 2,85. Tie probability multiplier is optional. It can be used to adjust tie probability. For example value of 1,1 would add 10% (multiply by 1,1).

Elo ratings calculations are only available in PoissoNed! Pro version. You can buy it from our web store.

Statistics Pro new features

Going to show you some great stuff you are able to get when purchasing our Statistics Pro -service.

This was added only today (12.6.2013):

This is from our head-to-head comparison (h2h) page for Ghana vs Ivory Coast

Statistics Pro only: longest streaks and current streak of having conceded a goal in game. See Ghana here record of 19 concecutive games and currently only 1 game streak of letting in a goal. Ivory Coast on the other hand has not conceded a goal in their last 2 games (conceded goal = -2). So a negative number here means the opposite. It is obvious on the over / under 2.5 goals streak. If team currently has 3 goals streak of over 2.5 total goals games, then it also has a -3 streak as under 2.5 goals games. You can actually customize this total goals limit: exactly 2 goals, 1.5, 3.0, anything. It can have negative number on both over and under side if the team currently has played exactly x goals game(s). For example if you choose limit of over / under 2 goals and both teams have played 1-1 score their previous games then it would be -1 on both over 2 total goals and under 2 total goals games because they have not played over nor under 2 goals games in their last 1 games.

Also just added couple of days ago: Special Statistics tab in every league page. This is from English Premier League (EPL):

If you click Score Stats -button you’ll get the following statistics:

You can sort the columns by clicking it and if you put your mouse cursor over the percentage (%) value you’ll see percentage as value odds (for example 50.0% = 2.00 in decimal value odds, 1/1 UK, +100 in US odds). This actually works in all the percentages seen in league pages and subpages.

If you click Half Time / Full Time -button from the Special Statistics you’ll get this:

All the amazing data filtering that you can do for each team when comparing them, you’d better just try it yourself in this demo:

http://annabet.com/en/statistics/statistics_pro_demo.php

Some examples: “show me games of team A vs team B in NHL playoffs where team A was heavy favorite with 1×2 odds under 1.50 and team B underdog with odds 3.00+ and also show me all these games results and statistics as -1.5 handicap for the team A!”

“Show me the 1st half 1×2% distribution where Arsenal was <1.40 odds heavy favorite at home and Stoke 4.50+ underdog at away and show me the current 1st half 1×2 odds comparison too!”

Basketball example: “show me how New York Knicks has played as heavy favorite with -9.5 handicap!”

Live betting example: “show me all the games where Arsenal was leading 1-0 and Stoke down 0-1 after 1st half” – you can mix any of the stats data filtering totally as you wish!

New 30.5.2013:  Elo ratings based power ratings -> probability estimations -> value odds for international soccer and ice hockey games!

Odds comparison is also available in UK and US odds. Just register and login to our site and click Customize Statistics.

We wish to thank all those paying customers enabling us to develop all these cool stuff for you! We may now have the biggest sports and betting website in the world (by the size and uniqueness of the content). This is available in 12 languages. Please contact us if you can help us in new or existing translations or any other co-operation.

Our content may change (usually improve) that has been shown here. See our Terms of Use here.