Ice Hockey World Championship 2013

Finland and Sweden will co-host the Ice Hockey World Championship for the second year in a row 3.-19.5.2013. AnnaBet offers you Power Ratings (see our guide here):

Odds Comparison. See highest odds for upcoming games here (updated 30.4.2013):

Winner Odds comparison. See best odds here (30.4.2013):

Twitter box shows what is being discussed right now:


And all the best statistics for upcoming games.

Click here to open our Ice Hockey World Championship page

Jokerit not winning outside their home town in previous 10 playoffs away games

By using our fantastic Statistics Pro -service. We noticed that Finnish SM-liiga team Jokerit from Helsinki haven’t won their last 10 away games in SM-liiga playoffs outside Helsinki. Only wins as an away team has been against local team HIFK. Here is a screenshot of our stats filter (Statistics Pro) showing only playoffs games in the head-to-head statistics:

Last time Lukko’s odds was 3.77 at PinnacleSports and they won 5-2. At the time of writing this article the best odds for tonight’s Lukko – Jokerit game are:

Click here to compare Lukko vs Jokerit

Of course you can do much more than showing just playoffs games. You can get statistics only for certain period (first, second, third or all overtime games), or filter games by 1×2 odds. Choose small odds to see games where team has been clear favorite and big odds when playing as clear underdog. When you choose to view statistics for 1. period only, you’ll also see odds comparison for 1. period bets! In soccer you’ll also get odds for 2nd half too.

Edit: Game result was Lukko – Jokerit 2-1 so this was Jokerit’s 11th loss at away from home town in playoffs! Nice winning odds for “underdog” Lukko again (3.44).

No deposit free 5€ for new Bet-at-home accounts (expired)

25.4.2013: Free 5€ offer has expired but there are still nice deposit bonuses!

There are some generous bonuses available for new Bet-at-home accounts. Depending on your country you can get up to 100€ first deposit bonus. BUT you can also get 5€ absolutely free – no deposit needed when you register via this link: Bet-at-home and then contact us. We will then send you 5€ voucher code*. Good luck! Notice that Bet-at-home live betting has many times much better odds than pre-game odds.

*Free betting vouchers may be redeemed only once per person, family, household and generally used computers. The amount of the betting voucher has to be wagered three times (min. odd of 1,50), before a pay-out can be requested.

Soccer goal probabilities: Poisson vs actual distribution

How does Poisson distribution work in football (soccer) goal probability calculations? In this article we have research data from the following European leagues in our soccer database:

Leagues: English Premier League, English Championship, Italian Serie A, Spanish Primera División and French Ligue 1
All the results we have till 9th of March 2013. Regular season games and regular playtime only, awarded games not included (note: we might not have all the awarded games info stored into our database).
Home goal average = 1.5042
Away goal average = 1.0639
= 39 996 games

HOME team goal distribution POISSON vs ACTUAL

AWAY team goal distribution POISSON vs ACTUAL

Poisson results here are quite accurately showing goal probabilities per team – except for the high number of goals for away team (which has much lower goal average).

Final score calculation MATH vs ACTUAL

Mathematically we can calculate each possible final score probability by multiplying each home goal probability by each away goal probability. Here you can see the results. Math (Poisson) works quite well for most of the scores but not all:

Mathematical model differs most at 0-0, 0-1 and 1-2 results. Notice that real world tie (draw) probability is higher than what is mathematically calculated:

*Math percentages calculated using each possible goal combination – not just 0 -> 3 goals as shown in the Final score table.

Poisson Distribution is a simple predictive model that doesn’t allow for a lot of factors. The system is of greatest benefit over a long period of time – using it for a whole season’s worth of games, rather than one-off matches.

PoissoNed! calculator

There is an easy way to calculate a great variety of soccer goal probabilities (for example: correct score, asian handicaps, total goals, team totals) from goal average values using PoissoNed! online calculator which has also lots of adjustable parameters like tie probability multiplier or adjusting (“forcing”) the results to certain home win – tie – away win % distribution:

See some of the results here (open the calculator from the link above to see all the probabilities). Value odds (decimal odds format) are next to the percentages. They are also available in UK and US odds.

See also this guide: Poisson Distribution for Soccer Betting by PinnacleSports


AnnaBet Web Store Guide

How to purchase from AnnaBet Web Store

Please note that our Web Store uses separate account from the main site of! It is not required to register to the web store but you need to be registered to the main site first before able to order any service.

In this example we are going to purchase Statistics Pro -service at the Web Store:

We write our main site username Dr. Punter to the *AnnaBet username -field, and then change the quantity (Qty) as 6 for 6 months subscription. We will get a discounted price for 6 or more and 12 or more months subscription. You can also leave it to 1 if you wish to have just 1 month subscription.

Just click Add to cart and it should then say:

If you don’t wish to order more products or service from our web store, just click this shopping cart link.

At the lower right corner of the shopping cart you will see Checkout button:

Notice that if you are outside European Union VAT system, the VAT will be automatically deducted from the total sum at later point of the order process. As we told at the beginning, this web store has another account / login info than the main site:

It is very ok to order using Guest Checkout but if you wish to create also account to the web store for able to shop faster in the future and see your order status info etc. then chooce Register Account. Your email address will be then used to login to the web store in at the future. Click Continue. Next fill in all the details market with red star and click Continue:

The payment options will show up:

Choose the payment option and check the Terms & Conditions:

Finally it will show you the Confirm Order phase:

It will show you the payment option you have previously chown:

When the payment is processed (usually immediatedly), your subscription for the service(s) will begin automatically.